The Etch A Sketch is Back!

I’m off and on watching the Russia-Spain basketball semifinals right now and I happened to look up during a timeout and guess what the Spain coach is using to draw up play during a timeout? An Etch A Sketch with basketball lines on it:

Pretty cool, huh?

This also gives me a chance to praise BBC’s coverage of the Olympics. I was extremely upset with NBC’s coverage, but I’m on a family trip right now in Europe and have had the chance to watch a lot of coverage on BBC. They are showing everything live and on TV. The commentators have been terrific, nearly all experts in the sports they cover. It does help that the games are all timed so the best events are in prime time – I have no doubt NBC’s coverage would be significantly better if everything was in the Eastern time zone. But still, it has been a true pleasure to watch the Olympics over here – and that’s how it should be.

How Can I Trust AEI?

I meant to write this a few days ago, but never got around to it:

I want there to be a respectable conservative think tank. I want there to be good research out of the right. I want there to be policy analysis that constructively analyzes both the right and left’s proposals. Right now, there are a number of left organizations that do that. The Citizens for Tax Justice leans leftward but produces good, quality work.

It would be nice if the right could actually attempt to put out an unbalanced report. The Heritage Foundation long ago lost credibility in my eyes. But I’ve always tried to give the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) a chance. For instance, its response to the Tax Policy Center’s analysis of Romney’s tax plan is something I can at least respect and debate:

Now I don’t have a problem with the general analytical approach here, nor am I surprised by the findings given that approach. The U.S. has an extremely progressive income tax system where the top 1% pay 40% of the income taxes, while the bottom 50% pay just 2%. Across-the-board tax cuts will favor upper-income folks and “paying for them” will make the system less progressive in terms of the tax burden.

But I do have some issues with the study, as well as an observation or two.

First, the study assumes that Romney’s corporate income tax will be paid for by eliminating about $100 billion in business tax breaks. Yet an AEI study suggests that the U.S. corporate tax rate is deeply on the wrong side of the Laffer Curve and a cut to 25% might well pay for itself. So that $100 billion could help pay for individual income tax reductions.

Second, the study offers one scenario that assumes the tax plan produces greater economic growth than the TPC baseline scenario with a revenue loss of around $300 billion instead of $360 billion. Apply that $100 billion in corporate savings, and the revenue loss — before scaling back individual tax breaks — would be around $200 billion. At that point, the supposed tax hike for those making under $200,000 would likely be much less than 1%.

Third, I would guess the Romney campaign is betting on even higher GDP growth estimates than Brookings-TPC, assuming the economy might get a confidence bounce from business, investors and consumers after a Romney win, especially if he is able to produce major tax and entitlement reform.

I haven’t seen any other study on the correct Laffer curve rate for the corporate tax rate than AEI’s. It’s great that AEI has done that research. And while I don’t necessarily agree with their points (corporate tax revenue isn’t just related to the Laffer curve, it also has to do with the international system), I think that reasonable people can disagree over them. And on top of that, the authors agree that “across-the-board tax cuts will favor upper-income folks and “paying for them” will make the system less progressive in terms of the tax burden.” It’s good stuff.

But then the President of AEI, Arthur Brooks, comes out with a trash column in the Wall Street Journal. It mainly focuses on the Administration’s decision to issue welfare waivers. This has been thoroughly debunked all week so I’m not going to go into it. What I do want to point out is how Brooks opens the op-ed:

Within the space of just two weeks, Americans have witnessed two radically different philosophies about the free enterprise system from President Obama. In his notorious Roanoke, Va., speech of July 13, he said “If you’ve got a business—you didn’t build that. Somebody else made that happen.” That is, Americans have not fully earned their success. (bolding mine)

Are you kidding me?! It’s dishonest and slimy for Romney to slice Obama’s words like that. For a supposedly respectable head of a conservative think tank to do so is disgraceful and despicable. Honestly, Brooks 100% knows what he is doing here. His entire goal is to trick the American public. How can I trust anything AEI produces when its president writes such garbage?

Dullest Campaign Ever

In David Brooks’s column in the New York Times today, he rattles off 10 reasons why this presidential campaign is so incredibly boring. He rightfully scolds Mitt Romney for running “the closest thing to  a policy-free race as any candidate in my lifetime” and criticizes President Obama’s proposals as “small and medium-size retreads.” I disagree with Brooks’s description of the President’s proposals – does he really consider the American Jobs Act small?

But I also think the reason he considers these ideas retreads is that Obama has been in office for four years. He hasn’t been keeping a secret agenda from the American public just to unveil it on the campaign trail. In addition, Democrats have been pushing many of the ideas he supports for years. Policy experts and the media have thoroughly dissected every policy proposal. There isn’t anything new to report.

And even if Romney did reveal which policies he supports, the media would only be able to do so much with it. In all likelihood, those policies would be conservative retreads as well.

But Brooks makes another point that I think is more important:

[T]echnology is making campaigns dumber. BlackBerrys and iPhones mean that campaigns can respond to their opponents minute by minute and hour by hour. The campaigns get lost in tit-for-tat minutiae that nobody outside the bubble cares about. Meanwhile, use of the Internet means that Web videos overshadow candidate speeches and appearances. Video replaces verbal. Tactics eclipse vision.

This is 100 percent true and it’s sad, as I’m not sure there’s much that will change either. If the media collectively decided to ignore the gaffes that attract viewers, then maybe we could break out of this technology-driven monotony. But the majority of viewers are strongly split between Obama and Romney. They want to see passionate  speeches from the candidate they support and gaffes from the candidate they don’t. They don’t want to see wonky, policy speeches. So if a media station decides to focus on policy over gaffes (ala The Newsroom), it’s just going to see viewership decrease (ala The Newsroom). Welcome to presidential campaigns in the 21st century!