Jason Bay Signs With Mets

Photo Courtesy of SonsOfSamHorn.net

Jason Bay, one of the two premier free agent hitters along with Matt Holliday, has agreed to a four-year, $66 million deal with the New York Mets. Bay had rejected a four-year, $60 million offer from the Red Sox earlier during the regular season as well as during the offseason and his market never developed fully. After originally seeking a deal with a guaranteed fifth year with a value of nearly $20 million a year, Bay relaxed his demands once he realized that the market just wasn’t there. The Mets still tossed in a $14 million option as a fifth year for Bay pending that he reaches a certain number of plate appearances (avoiding serious injury). Including that year, the deal comes out to $16 million a season. 

Considering Mark Teixeira received an eight-year, $180 million contract last season, Bay’s deal would seem to be a steal for the other New York team. Here is Teixeira’s stat line from 2008 before he signed that mega-deal and Bay’s stats from last season:

  ABs Hits 2B HR RBI BB   SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
Teixeira 574 177 41 33 121 97 93 .308 .410 .552 .962
Bay 531 142 29 36 119 94 162 .267 .384 .537 .921

Those are pretty similiar statistics and Bay is only a year older than Teixeira was last season. The economy slashed contracts slightly, but the gap between Bay’s deal and Teixeira’s is still massive. The first reason is defense. Teixeira is a very good defensive first baseman while Bay is below-average for a left-fielder. In the cavernous Citi Field, Bay’s defensive woes will be more pronounced. On the offensive, playing at Citi Field will certainly bring down Bay’s numbers, especially considering Bay played in the friendly confines of Fenway Park last season. Add in the fact that Bay is a very streaky player and the Mets need a consistent bat and the deal does not look so great. Continue reading “Jason Bay Signs With Mets”

2009 MLB Preview

Now that I have previewed all 30 teams and predicted the standings for all 6 divisions, it is time to reveal my playoff predictions and award winners.

American League

East: Boston Red Sox
Central: Cleveland Indians
West: Los Angeles Angels
Wild Card: New York Yankees

ALDS: Red Sox over Indians, Yankees over Angels
ALCS: Red Sox over Yankees

AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera
AL Cy Young: C.C. Sabathia

National League

East: New York Mets
Central: Chicago Cubs
West: Los Angeles Dodgers
Wild Card: Florida Marlins

NLDS: Mets over Dodgers, Cubs over Marlins
NLCS: Mets over Cubs

NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez
NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

And finally, the moment you’ve all been waiting for

My World Series Champion is:

The Boston Red Sox

So there are all my predictions. Now, I cannot guarantee that those will all be right. I can’t guarantee that any of those will be right. I can guarantee that many of those will be wrong though. But for now, let’s play baseball!

2009 National League East Preview

Here is the first division preview for the upcoming season and I begin with the NL East:

Predicted Standings
1. New York Metsdavid-wright3
2. Florida Marlins
3. Philadelphia Phillies
4. Atlanta Braves
5. Washington Nationals

Best Hitter: Hanley Ramirez
Best Pitcher: Johann Santana

Mets

The Mets return the same offense as last year with David Wright, Jose Reyes, and Carlos Beltran leading the team. Johan Santana leads the starting rotation and is followed by Mike Pelfrey and Oliver Perez. Santana is an ace, but Pelrey and Perez could put the Mets in a tough situation if either doesn’t live up to expectations. However, their bullpen is key as the Mets have two proven closers in Francisco Rodriguez and J.J. Putz. There won’t be many times this year when the Mets blow a lead after the 7th inning so if an opponent wants to win, it is going to have to beat the Met’s starters. Continue reading “2009 National League East Preview”